CIFA Intermediate LevelEquity Investments Analysis
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CIFA Intermediate Level

Equity Investments Analysis flashcards

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How do a market order, a limit order and a stop order differ?

Market order: executes immediately at the best available price, putting certainty of execution ahead of price. Limit order: sets a maximum price to pay (buy) or a minimum to accept (sell), putting price ahead of certainty of execution. Stop order: becomes a market order once a trigger price is reached, commonly used to limit losses on an existing position.

What are Porter's five forces?

1. Threat of new entrants. 2. Bargaining power of suppliers. 3. Bargaining power of buyers. 4. Threat of substitute products. 5. Rivalry among existing competitors. Together they decide how much pricing power, and so how much sustainable profitability, an industry can support.

What do the weak, semi-strong and strong forms of market efficiency each say prices reflect?

Weak form: all past price and volume data. Technical analysis cannot consistently earn excess returns. Semi-strong form: all publicly available information. Neither technical nor fundamental analysis of public information can. Strong form: all information, public and private. Not even inside information can.

What three simultaneous trends does Dow theory describe?

Primary: the long-term trend. Secondary: medium-term corrections within the primary trend. Minor: short-term noise. A trend remains in force until a clear reversal signal appears.

What is the Gordon growth model, and what must hold for it to work?

V0 = D1 / (r - g), where D1 is next year's dividend, r the required return and g the constant growth rate. It assumes dividends grow at one constant rate forever, and r must be strictly greater than g; where g >= r the formula is meaningless. Example: D0 = KES 2.00, g = 5%, r = 13%. D1 = 2.10 and V0 = 2.10 / 0.08 = KES 26.25.

Why is FCFF discounted at the WACC and FCFE at the cost of equity?

FCFF is the cash flow available to all capital providers, debt and equity, so it is discounted at their blended cost, the WACC. The market value of debt is then subtracted to reach equity value. FCFE is the cash flow available to equity holders only, so it is discounted at the cost of equity and needs no adjustment for debt.

How is enterprise value calculated?

EV = market value of equity + market value of debt + preference shares + minority interest - cash and cash equivalents. It is the value of the whole operating business, independent of how it happens to be financed.

What is residual income, and why does it improve on net income?

Residual income = net income - equity charge, where the equity charge = equity capital employed x the required return on equity. Net income charges for debt through interest but makes no charge for the equity capital used to earn it. Residual income is the profit earned above what shareholders require.

How does the build-up approach estimate a private company's cost of equity?

Cost of equity = risk-free rate + equity risk premium + size premium + company-specific risk premium. No market beta is needed, which is why it suits a private company with no reliable beta comparable. Example: 12% + 6% + 3% + 4% = 25%.

What is Tobin's Q, and how is it read?

Tobin's Q = market value of assets / replacement cost of those assets. Above 1: the market values the assets above their replacement cost, which can encourage new investment or signal overvaluation. Below 1: the market values them below replacement cost, which discourages new investment or can signal undervaluation.

What is the difference between financial intermediation and disintermediation?

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How do ordinary shares and preference shares differ?

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How do market value, book value and intrinsic value differ?

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What are the three layers of fundamental analysis, in order?

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How do growth, defensive, cyclical and speculative companies differ?

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What is the difference between top-down and bottom-up economic forecasting?

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Why is earnings quality a precondition for a trustworthy valuation?

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What are the five stages of the industry life cycle?

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What factors affect a company's sensitivity to the business cycle?

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Which features of industry structure support pricing power?

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Which test examines which form of market efficiency?

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What are time series and cross-sectional anomalies, and when is an anomaly a true violation of efficiency?

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What pattern does Elliott wave theory describe?

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What does contrary opinion theory read into extreme market sentiment?

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How do the core assumptions of technical and fundamental analysis differ?

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What are the five steps of the equity valuation process?

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What is the difference between absolute and relative valuation models?

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When is liquidation value used instead of going-concern value?

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What is the rule on inflation when discounting cash flows?

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How is a noncallable perpetual preference share valued?

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What is PVGO, and how is it calculated?

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What are the justified leading and trailing P/E ratios from the Gordon growth model?

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How is the Gordon growth model rearranged to give implied growth and implied required return?

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How do the two-stage DDM, the H-model and the three-stage DDM treat the move to stable growth?

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What is the H-model formula?

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What are the steps in valuing a share with the two-stage DDM?

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What is the sustainable growth rate, and how is it calculated?

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What are the single-stage FCFF and FCFE growth models?

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How is FCFF reached from net income, and FCFE from FCFF?

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How does the single-stage residual income model value a share?

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What are economic value added and market value added?

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What is the case for valuation multiples, and what are their drawbacks?

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What is the difference between the method of comparables and the method based on forecasted fundamentals?

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Which kind of company does each of P/E, P/B, price-to-cash-flow and P/S best suit?

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What is normalised EPS, and why is it used?

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Why is EV/EBITDA preferred over P/E when peers have different capital structures?

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Why are momentum indicators used alongside valuation multiples?

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What are the four standards of value used in private company valuation?

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What are the minority discount, the control premium and the discount for lack of marketability?

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How does the Grinold-Kroner model decompose the expected equity market return?

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How do the cost of equity, an accounting rate of return and the investor's required rate of return differ?

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Why is economic analysis performed before company analysis rather than after?

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What does industry analysis contribute that company analysis on its own would miss?

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How does balance sheet modelling keep a company's forecast consistent?

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How does a market's efficiency affect how far an analyst can rely on comparing intrinsic value with market price?

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How should an analyst build a peer group for relative valuation?

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What factors affect how efficient a market is?

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What does random walk theory hold, and how does it relate to weak-form efficiency?

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What are the momentum anomaly and post-earnings-announcement drift?

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What are the main tools of technical analysis?

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What is alpha, and when does a valuation give an analyst a reason to act?

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What does a valuation multiple express, and what kind of valuation is it the tool for?

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How can a poorly constructed peer group undermine a multiple-based valuation even when the arithmetic is correct?

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Which fundamental driver does each of P/B, P/S, price-to-cash-flow and dividend yield respond to?

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What is a predicted (cross-sectional) P/E regression?

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Once an enterprise value has been estimated from EV/EBITDA, how is equity value reached?

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What must an analyst allow for when comparing multiples across borders?

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What are the residual income model's strengths and its main weakness compared with the DDM and free cash flow models?

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How does a multistage residual income model work?

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What is the capitalised cash flow method of valuing a private company?

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How do the guideline public company method and the guideline transactions method differ?

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How does the excess earnings method value a private company?

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How does short-term equity market equilibrium differ from long-term equilibrium?

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What does the Yardeni model estimate, and what does it start from?

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What does market diversity measure, and how is it captured?

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