Paper 15
ADVANCED PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
This paper is intended to equip the candidate with the knowledge, skills and attitudes that will enable him/her to apply advanced financial techniques and methods in portfolio management.
On completion, a candidate should be able to
- Develop investment policy statement for individual and institutional investors
- Construct a portfolio using different asset classes
- Analyse different strategies used to manage a portfolio of different asset classes
- Apply trade execution decisions and techniques in portfolio management
- Undertake portfolio monitoring and rebalancing processes
- Evaluate the performance of a portfolio.
Content
- 1
Capital market forecasts
- 1.1
The application framework
- 1.1.1
Overview of capital market forecasts and approaches
- 1.1.2
Role of and a framework for capital market forecasts in the portfolio management process, challenges in developing capital market forecasts exogenous shocks and their effect on economic growth
- 1.1.3
Application of economic growth trend analysis to the formulation of capital market forecasts, approaches to economic forecasting, effect of business cycles affects short- and long-term forecasts, relationship of inflation to the business cycle and the implications of inflation for cash, bonds, equity, and real estate returns
- 1.1.4
Monetary and fiscal policy effects on business cycles, macroeconomic, interest rate, and exchange rate linkages between economies
- 1.2
Forecasting asset class returns
- 1.2.1
Approaches to setting forecasts for fixed-income returns, risks faced by investors in emerging market fixed-income securities and the country risk analysis techniques used to evaluate emerging market economies;
- 1.2.2
Approaches to setting forecasts for equity investment market returns, risks faced by
- 1.2.3
Economic and competitive factors effect on forecasts for real estate investment markets and sector returns;
- 1.2.4
Forecasting exchange rate volatility;
- 1.2.5
Changes in the component weights of a global investment portfolio based on trends and expected changes in macroeconomic factors
- 2
Managing individual investor portfolios and institutional investors Portfolio:
- 2.1
Individual investors:
- 2.1.1
Overview of investor characteristics: situational profiling (source of wealth, measure of wealth, stage of life); psychological profiling (traditional finance, behavioural finance, personality typing)
- 2.1.2
Investment policy statement for an individual investor
- 2.1.3
Strategic asset allocation for an individual investor: Monte Carlo simulation in personal retirement planning (62)
- 2.2
Institutional investors:
- 2.2.1
Overview of pension funds: defined-benefit and defined-contribution plans; pension fund risk tolerance; defined benefit and defined contribution investment policy statement; risk management considerations; hybrid pension plans; employee share ownership plans
- 2.2.2
Other institutional investors: Foundations, endowments, Insurance industry (life and non-life insurance companies), banks, investment intermediaries and other institutional investors; their background and investment setting
- 3
Asset allocation
- 3.1
Overview of asset allocation: role of asset allocation in portfolio management, governance structures, articulation of investment objectives, allocation of rights and responsibilities, governance audit, strategic versus tactical asset allocation; importance of asset allocation in portfolio performance; steps involved in establishing an appropriate asset allocation
- 3.2
Asset allocation and investors and return objectives: dynamic versus static asset allocation; factors affecting asset allocation policy (loss aversion; mental accounting; fear of regret); return and risk objectives in relation to asset allocation, economic balance sheet and asset allocation
- 3.3
Selection of asset classes: criteria for specifying asset classes; inclusion of international assets (developed and emerging markets)
- 3.4
Optimisation approaches to asset allocation: mean-variance approach (Its application when adding an asset class in an existing portfolio); resampled efficient frontier; experience-based approaches; asset only, asset/liability management (ALM);); Black – Letterman approach: Monte-Carlo Simulation
- 3.5
Nondomestic equities and bonds: Their associated risks, costs and opportunities
- 3.6
Conditional return correlations: their importance when evaluating the diversification effects of nondomestic investments
- 3.7
Integrating a segmented market with a global market: expected effects on share prices expected returns, and return volatilities
- 3.8
Formulation and justification of minimum-variance frontier given investment policy statement and capital market expectations.
- 3.9
Asset allocation with practical constraints
- 4
Fixed income portfolio management
- 4.1
Use of liability as a benchmark and use of bond index as a benchmark with respect to investment objectives
- 4.2
Managing funds against a bond market: classification of strategies (pure bond indexing/full replication approach, enhanced indexing and active investing, full- blown); selection of a benchmark bond index and factors to consider (market value risk, income risk, liability framework risk); use of bond market indices
- 4.3
Techniques used to align the risk exposures of the portfolio with those of the benchmark bond index: duration matching technique, key rate durations technique
- 4.4
Assessment of the risk and return characteristics of a proposed trade: total return analysis, scenario analysis
- 4.5
Bond immunisation strategy: its formulation and evaluation under various interest rate scenarios
- 4.6
Spread duration and its importance
- 4.7
Extension of classical immunisation theory: introduction of contingent immunisation (63)
- 4.8
Risks associated with managing a portfolio against a liability structure: interest rate risk, contingent claim risk, cap risk
- 4.9
Immunisation strategies for single liability, multiple liabilities and general cash flows: their advantages and disadvantages
- 4.10
Immunised portfolios: risk immunisation and return maximisation
- 4.11
Cash flow matching: its use in funding a fixed set of future liabilities; its advantages and disadvantages
- 5
International and emerging market fixed-income portfolio management strategies
- 5.1
Effect of leverage on portfolio duration and investment returns
- 5.2
Use of repurchase agreements (repos) to finance bond purchases: Factors affecting the repo rate
- 5.3
Measures of fixed income portfolio risk: standard deviation, target semi variance, shortfall risk and value at risk (VaR)
- 5.4
Use of futures instead of cash market instruments to alter portfolio risk
- 5.5
Formulation and evaluation of an immunisation strategy based on interest rates
- 5.6
Use of interest rate swaps and options to alter portfolio cash flows and exposure to interest rate risk; use of credit derivative instruments to address default risk, credit spread risk and downgrade risk in the context of fixed income portfolio
- 5.7
Potential sources of excess return for an international bond portfolio
- 5.8
Effect of change in value for a foreign bond when domestic interest rates change, and the bond’s contribution to duration in domestic portfolio, given the duration of the foreign bond and the country beta
- 5.9
Hedging currency risk in international bond markets; break even spread analysis in seeking yield advantages across international bond market; investing in emerging market debt
- 6
Equity portfolio management
- 6.1
Role of equity in the overall portfolio
- 6.2
Equity investment universe; segmentation by size and style, segmentation by geography, segmentation by economic activity.
- 6.3
Equity investment approaches: passive approach; active approach; semi-active (enhanced-index) approach; their relevance with respect to expected active return and tracking risk
- 6.4
Weighting schemes used in the construction of major equity market indices and the biases associated with each
- 6.5
Passive equity investing: alternative methods for establishing passive exposure to an equity market; indexed separate or pooled accounts, index mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, equity index futures and equity total return swaps
- 6.6
Approaches to constructing an indexed portfolio: full replication, stratified sampling and optimisation
- 6.7
Active equity investing: equity investment–styles classifications and risks associated with each; techniques for identifying investment styles; equity style indices; equity style box analysis and style drift; long–short and long-only investment strategies; ‘equitised’ market-neutral and short-extension portfolios; sell disciplines/trading of active investors
- 6.8
Semi-active equity investing (enhanced-index): derivatives-based and stock- based enhanced indexing strategies
- 6.9
Managing a portfolio of managers: core-satellite approach to portfolio construction; effect of adding a completeness fund to control overall risk exposures (64)
- 6.10
Components of total active return (“true” active return and “misfit” active return) and their associated risk measures; alpha and beta separation as an approach to active management;
- 6.11
Identifying, selecting, and contracting with equity managers
- 6.12
Structuring equity research and security selection: top-down and bottom-up approaches to equity research
- 7
Alternative investments portfolio management
- 7.1
Introduction to alternative investments portfolio management
- 7.2
Selection of active managers of alternative investment scheme
- 7.3
Alternative investment benchmarks: construction and interpretation; benchmark bias
- 7.4
Return enhancement and risk diversification effects of adding an alternative investment to a reference portfolio (for instance a portfolio of bonds and equity only)
- 7.5
Venture capital: Major issuers and suppliers; purpose of venture capital; buyout funds; use of convertible preferred stock in direct venture capital investment
- 7.6
Private equity fund: Typical structure and timelines; formulating private equity investment strategy
- 7.7
Commodity investments: Direct and indirect commodity investment; components of return for commodity futures contracts; role of commodities in a portfolio
- 7.8
Hedge funds: Typical structure; high water- mark provisions; fund-of-funds; performance and evaluation
- 7.9
Managed futures: Trading strategies; role in a portfolio
- 7.10
Distressed securities: Risks associated with investing in distressed securities including event risk, market liquidity risk, ‘J-factor’ risk
- 8
Currency portfolio management
- 8.1
Effects of currency movements on portfolio risk and return
- 8.2
Strategic choices in portfolio management
- 8.3
Active currency trading strategies based on economic fundamentals, technical analysis, curry trade and volatility trading
- 8.4
Adjusting the hedge ratio using forward contracts and foreign exchange (FX) swaps
- 8.5
Trading strategies used to reduce hedging costs and modify the risk return characteristics of a foreign currency portfolio
- 8.6
Portfolios exposed to multiple foreign currencies: use of cross-hedges ratio, macro-hedges ratio, minimum-variance-hedge ratio
- 8.7
Challenges for managing emerging market currency exposures
- 9
Execution of portfolio decisions
- 9.1
The context of trading: market microstructure: order types and their price and execution uncertainties, their effective spread and their quoted bid ask spread; types of markets and their quality; roles of brokers and dealers
- 9.2
Costs of trading: transaction costs components (explicit and implicit costs); implementation shortfall and volume weighted average price (VWAP) as measures of transaction costs; use of econometric methods/models in pre-trade analysis to estimate implicit transaction costs
- 9.3
Major types of traders: their motivation to trade, time versus price preferences and preferred order types; major trading tactics; algorithmic trading strategies and determining factors including order size, average daily trading volume, bid– ask spread and the urgency of the order (65)
- 9.4
Trade execution decision and tactics: meaning and criteria of best execution; firm’s investment and trading procedures, including processes, disclosures and record keeping with respect to best execution
- 9.5
Role of ethics in trading
- 10
Portfolio monitoring and rebalancing
- 10.1
Monitoring: Fiduciary’s responsibilities in monitoring an investment portfolio; monitoring of investor circumstances, market/economic conditions and portfolio holdings; revisions to an investor’s investment policy statement and strategic asset allocation, given a change in investor circumstances
- 10.2
Rebalancing: Benefits and costs of rebalancing a portfolio to the investor’s strate- gic asset allocation; calendar rebalancing; percentage-of-portfolio rebalancing; optimal corridor width of an asset class; target portfolio rebalancing versus allowed range portfolio rebalancing; rebalancing strategies (linear, concave, and convex rebalancing strategies); constant mix, buy-and-hold, and constant proportion portfolio insurance (CPPI) rebalancing strategies
- 11
Evaluating portfolio performance
- 11.1
Importance of performance evaluation from the perspective of fund sponsors and the perspective of investment managers
- 11.2
Components of performance evaluation: performance measurement, performance attribution and performance appraisal
- 11.3
Performance measurement: total, time-weighted, money-weighted rates of return, linked internal rate of return and annualized return
- 11.4
Benchmarks: concept of a benchmark; properties of a valid benchmark; types; steps involved in constructing a custom security-based benchmark; validity of using manager universes as benchmarks; tests of benchmark quality; hedge funds and hedge fund benchmarks
- 11.5
Performance attribution: inputs for micro and macro attribution; use of macro and micro performance attribution methodologies to identify the sources of investment performance; use of fundamental factor models in micro performance attribution
- 11.6
Performance appraisal: risk-adjusted performance measures, including (in their ex post forms) alpha, information ratio, Treynor measure, Sharpe ratio and Modigliani-Modigliani measure (M2); incorporation of portfolio’s alpha and beta into the information ratio, Treynor measure, and Sharpe ratio; use of performance quality control charts in performance appraisal
- 11.7
Practice of performance evaluation: noisiness of performance data; manager continuation policy decisions
- 11.8
Investment manager selection; framework for investment manager search and selection, type I and type II errors in manager selection, elements of manager search and selection, capture ratios and drawdown in manager evaluation, qualitative elements of manager due diligence, investment personnel investment decision-making process
- 12
Performance Standards
- 12.1
Introduction to the Performance Standards; objectives, key characteristics, and scope, benefits to prospective clients and investment managers; fundamentals of compliance with the performance standards, requirements and recommendations of the performance standards with respect to input data, accounting policies related to valuation and performance measurement; (66)
- 12.2
Role of performance standards with respect to return calculation methodologies, treatment of external cash flows, cash and cash equivalents, and expenses and fees
- 12.3
Performance standards and composite return calculations, methods for asset- weighting portfolio returns; composite construction and portfolio management, role of investment mandates, objectives, or strategies in the construction of composites, role of performance standards and composite construction; switching portfolios among composites, timing of the inclusion of new portfolios in composites, and the timing of the exclusion of terminated portfolios from composites;
- 12.4
Performance standards requirements for asset class segments carved out of multi- class portfolios, performance standards and disclosure requirements, including fees, the use of leverage and derivatives, conformity with laws and regulations that conflict with the global standards, and noncompliant performance periods; performance standards presentation and reporting (timeframe of compliant performance periods, annual returns, composite assets, and benchmarks)
- 12.5
Merits of high/low, range, interquartile range, and equal-weighted or asset- weighted standard deviation as measures of the internal dispersion of portfolio returns within a composite for annual periods
- 12.6
Investments that are subject to performance standards for real estate and private equity; provisions of performance standards for real estate and private equity;
- 12.7
Performance standards for Wrap fee/ valuation hierarchy of the performance standards principles
- 12.8
Advertisements compliance with the performance standard guidelines